Daily Kickoff
Good Monday morning.
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we report on the Israeli strike that killed Hezbollah head Hassan Nasrallah — and talk to experts about what comes next. We look at how New York City’s Orthodox Jewish community is approaching the potential mayoral candidacy of former N.Y. Gov. Andrew Cuomo, report on pushback by swing-state Democrats to Sen. Bernie Sanders’ proposed legislation to cut arms sales to Israel and talk to North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum about his recent trip to Israel. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff: Andy Samberg, Jeff Flake and Jake Retzlaff.
What We’re Watching
- Oral arguments are slated to begin today in federal court in Maryland in the lawsuit brought against the University of Maryland by the school’s chapter of Students for Justice in Palestine and the Maryland chapter of the Council on American-Islamic Relations over the school’s decision to revoke SJP’s permit to hold an event in the school’s main plaza on the anniversary of the Oct. 7 Hamas terror attacks.
- Yeshiva University is hosting an Oct. 7 commemoration event this evening featuring Nova music festival survivor Tomer Meir.
- Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin is slated to meet Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian in Tehran today.
What You Should Know
In the wake of Israel’s assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah on Friday, which one senior Israeli defense official described to Jewish Insider as “the most incredible mission in Israel’s history” — and which capped off a 10-day period that saw the IDF break down Hezbollah’s command-and-control structure — questions linger about what comes next in the fight against the crown jewel of Iran’s proxy groups.
Israel has not fully eliminated the threat of Hezbollah, and the possibility of a higher-intensity war in Lebanon remains, with questions as to whether the terrorist organization can regroup and if Iran will get more involved following the weakening of Hezbollah, JI’s Lahav Harkov reports.
Alma Research and Education Center President Sarit Zehavi and Director of Research Tal Beeri argued in an analysis on Sunday that Israel will need to continue airstrikes in Lebanon in the short term, and depending on their effectiveness, there may be a complementary limited ground invasion “to physically and optimally cleanse parts of the border from infrastructure and terrorist operatives.” The IDF called up two brigades made up of thousands of reservists in recent days.
Zehavi and Beeri also emphasized that a diplomatic agreement with an effective mechanism to demilitarize southern Lebanon is inevitable, as the only way to avoid Israel reestablishing the buffer zone that it maintained in the area until 2000. Iran is weighing the costs and benefits of a direct attack on Israel and its intentions remain unclear, Zehavi and Beeri wrote. “The Iranians understand that their main investment in recent decades is falling apart in terms of its status and ability to pose a strategic threat to Israel. Therefore, at this time they will not want to place additional capabilities under threat,” they wrote.
Joe Truzman, an expert on Iranian proxies at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, told JI that the leaders of Israel, the U.S. and others in the region likely fear that, in response to Israel’s gains against Hezbollah, “Iran’s proxies may initiate attacks on neighboring countries, such as Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, to coerce Israel into halting its offensives in Gaza and Lebanon,” he said. “Initially, this might manifest through online threats from Iranian-backed Iraqi militias against targets in the UAE or Jordan. Such intimidation could escalate into actual attacks with drones or long-range missiles launched at these nations. From that point, the situation could quickly spiral out of control.” Read the full story here.
Meanwhile, in the first official Hezbollah speech since Nasrallah’s assassination, the group’s deputy leader, Sheikh Naim Qassem, said today, “we are ready if the Israelis decide to enter by land and the resistance forces are ready for a ground engagement. Despite the losses of its commanders, the attacks against civilians throughout Lebanon, and great sacrifices, we will not budge from our position. We will continue to support Gaza and to defend Lebanon.” He described the group’s attack on Israel to date as “minimum.”
The elimination of Hezbollah’s top terrorists spurred a political reconciliation in the Israeli right that has been long in the making, with Gideon Sa’ar returning to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s governing coalition as a minister without portfolio and security cabinet member, JI’s Lahav Harkov reports. Sa’ar is a former Likud minister who was long viewed as Netanyahu’s likely heir and eventually became his competitor, who left the party after a searing primary loss. His new party merged with Benny Gantz’s National Unity Party ahead of the 2022 election.
Sa’ar joined a unity government soon after the Oct. 7 attack together with Gantz, but broke up the bloc in March in an apparent attempt to differentiate himself and shore up his right-wing bona fides. Then he issued an ultimatum to Netanyahu to add him to the ministerial trifecta making major decisions about the war, and found himself in the opposition. In recent weeks, Sa’ar and Netanyahu negotiated the possibility of the former replacing Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, but with the advent of a higher intensity war in Lebanon, Sa’ar stated that this is not the time to change defense ministers and he would not seek the job.
Netanyahu and Sa’ar announced that they are burying the hatchet, putting their political disputes behind them for the good of national security, in a joint video released on Sunday. They said that in the months that Sa’ar was in the cabinet, they agreed more often than not. Sa’ar added that he found himself agreeing with the coalition far more than the opposition, and wanted to be in a position of influence in wartime — though when he quit in March he cited a lack of ability to influence the prosecution of the war.
Netanyahu now has a 68-member coalition, making his position as prime minister more secure should the government’s wild card, National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, choose to quit and take his party’s six seats with him. However, this does not make Netanyahu’s coalition bulletproof: Ben-Gvir and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich hold much of the same political positions and are competing for the same base, such that if one leaves the other is likely to follow.
What we’re reading: “Hezbollah’s Hasan Nasrallah chose his own fate” by the Washington Post’s David Ignatius… “Israel Has Called Iran’s Bluff” by The Atlantic’s Arash Azizi… “Israel Tries for a Knockout Blow,” by The Atlantic’s Eliot Cohen… “Iran Is Losing. That May Matter More Than Israel’s Mistakes” by The New York Times’ David French… “How Israeli spies penetrated Hizbollah” by the Financial Times’ Mehul Srivastava, James Shotter, Charles Clover and Raya Jalabi… “The Killing of Nasrallah — and the Virtue of Escalation” by The Free Press’ Eli Lake… “What Israelis Deserve” by Commentary’s Seth Mandel… “Israel’s Deterrence Lesson for Biden” by The Wall Street Journal’s editorial board…
white house reaction
Biden, Harris offer strong defense of Israel’s assassination of Hezbollah leader Nasrallah

President Joe Biden called the killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah on Friday “a measure of justice for his many victims,” and added that the United States “fully supports Israel’s right to defend itself against Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, and any other Iranian-supported terrorist groups.” Biden added that he hopes Israel deescalates the conflicts with both Hezbollah and Hamas through diplomacy. “Ultimately, our aim is to de-escalate the ongoing conflicts in both Gaza and Lebanon through diplomatic means,” Biden said in a statement, Jewish Insider’s Josh Kraushaar reports.
Harris’ statement: In a separate statement, Vice President Kamala Harris offered a strong defense of Israel’s actions, describing Nasrallah as “a terrorist with American blood on his hands.”Harris continued, “Across decades, his leadership of Hezbollah destabilized the Middle East and led to the killing of countless innocent people in Lebanon, Israel, Syria, and around the world. Today, Hezbollah’s victims have a measure of justice.”
Notable quotable: Jared Kushner, the son-in-law of former President Donald Trump, cheered Israel’s killing of Nasrallah and other top Hezbollah leaders — and argued Israel must be allowed to finish defeating the Iranian proxy. Kushner, who called Nasrallah’s death “the most important day in the Middle East since the Abraham Accords breakthrough,” criticized calls from the Biden administration — which supported Israel’s right to defend itself from Hezbollah in a statement — for emphasizing a cease-fire and calls for de-escalation.