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Welcome to election week in America. Despite the off-cycle year, several closely watched national and state seats are up for grabs Tuesday in what could be a bellwether for the 2022 midterms and control of Congress. In a special elections episode of Jewish Insider’s “Limited Liability Podcast,” National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar and JI’s Matthew Kassel preview the races.
In Florida’s 20th Congressional District, 11 candidates are vying to replace the late Rep. Alcee Hastings (D-FL). “[Hastings] left a really large void in the district that none of the candidates have really been able to suggest they’ll fill. A lot of them are vowing to advance his legacy, but he was Alcee Hastings,” Kassel said. Kassel also spoke about new polling data showing a tight race among the top three candidates, with a plurality still undecided. More below.
Hastings’s longtime support for Israel and relationship with the local Jewish community — highlighted by his conversational knowledge of Yiddish — has become an issue in the campaign, as state Rep. Omari Hardy drew national headlines for stating his support of BDS and conditioning aid to Israel in an interview with JI. “These open races in heavily Republican and Democratic districts are often very consequential when it comes to the makeup of Congress, and especially when it comes to Israel policy and the Jewish community more broadly,” Kraushaar noted.
“Virginia, Virginia, Virginia,” Kraushaar said is where his attention will be focused come Tuesday. In perhaps the most closely watched race this November, Republican Glenn Youngkin and former Democratic Gov. Terry McAuliffe compete for the governor’s mansion in the Old Dominion. “One of the fascinating issues is that Youngkin has been able to make up ground with some of the moderate, anti-Trump but pragmatic-minded voters by… capitalizing on the lows that Biden is facing down the river in Washington.”
Listen to the full elections episode and subscribe to LLP here.
survey says
New FL-20 poll suggests three-way race between Cherfilus-McCormick, Holness and Sharief

New polling on South Florida’s crowded special House election, obtained by Jewish Insider’s Matthew Kassel, suggests a three-way race between healthcare executive Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick and Broward County Commissioners Dale Holness and Barbara Sharief. The election is on Tuesday.
In the lead: Cherfilus-McCormick, who is spending millions of dollars from her personal funds on advertising to prop up her campaign, leads the pack at 15%, with Holness just a point behind at 14% and Sharief at 13%.
Background: The poll was conducted by Expedition Strategies, which surveyed 500 likely Democratic primary voters between Oct. 20 and 24. Respondents included those who had already voted and those who had yet to vote. The margin of error is 4.38%.
Up for grabs: A plurality of voters — 27% — remain undecided as 11 candidates vie for support in the divided race to succeed the late Rep. Alcee Hastings (D-FL) in Florida’s 20th Congressional District, which includes parts of Fort Lauderdale and West Palm Beach. Hastings, the longest-serving member of Florida’s congressional delegation, died in April at 84. In fourth place is state Sen. Perry Thurston, at 10%. The poll puts state Reps. Bobby DuBose and Omari Hardy at 6% and 5% respectively. Former state legislator Priscilla Taylor and retired Naval officer Phil Jackson both garnered 2%.