Daily Kickoff
Good Monday morning.
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we cover Israel’s strike against Hezbollah targets in Lebanon over the weekend. We interview Colorado Attorney General Phil Weiser and profile New Hampshire congressional candidate Maggie Goodlander. We also report on the “Uncommitted” movement’s efforts to push a speaker who equated Israeli hostages and Palestinian detainees and cover former National Security Advisor H.R. McMaster’s new book. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff: Ambassador Jeff Flake, Mira Resnick and Dr. Howard Krein.
What We’re Watching
- Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. CQ Brown is in Israel today for meetings with Israeli officials. Brown’s trip to the region was scheduled prior to Israel’s strike on Hezbollah missile launchers in Lebanon over the weekend.
- We’re keeping an eye on a possible further response from Hezbollah to the weekend strike, which was intended to stop an imminent Hezbollah attack on Israeli targets. More below.
- Following the end of the latest round of cease-fire and hostage-release talks in Cairo, lower-level teams will remain in Egypt this week to continue discussions with Qatari, Egyptian and American negotiators.
- Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani is in Tehran today, where he is expected to update Iranian officials on the progress of cease-fire talks and press for Iran to hold off on any attacks against Israel.
- Former President Donald Trump is expected to attack Vice President Kamala Harris over the Biden administration’s pullout from Afghanistan, which occurred three years ago this week. Trump will visit Arlington National Cemetery today before traveling to Michigan to deliver remarks at a conference organized by the National Guard Association of the United States.
What You Should Know
Tensions are running high across the Middle East following a series of strikes early Sunday morning by the Israeli Air Force targeting roughly 100 missile launchpads across southern Lebanon. The IDF said the strikes were meant “to thwart an imminent threat” from Hezbollah against Israeli communities — a retaliation for Israel’s assassination of senior Hezbollah official Fuad Shukr in Beirut last month.
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah said in a speech later Sunday that the group targeted specific sites in and around Tel Aviv, including the Defense Ministry headquarters and the Glilot IDF intelligence base outside the city.
Nasrallah said Hezbollah intended to “keep the Iron Dome busy” with hundreds of rockets and drones while it attacked Glilot and another unnamed military base.
Hezbollah said it fired 320 rockets, some of which reached as far south as Akko. Israeli Naval Petty Officer First Class David Moshe Ben Shitrit, 21, was killed aboard a patrol boat by shrapnel after an Iron Dome interceptor stopped a Hezbollah drone, and extensive property damage was reported in northern Israel. Israel’s Ben Gurion Airport paused outgoing flights and redirected incoming flights to Cyprus and Eilat, resuming normal operations within two hours. Israel’s Homefront Command implemented restrictions around large indoor and outdoor gatherings and closed beaches as far south as Tel Aviv, lifting the more stringent rules in most areas hours after the attack.
But the terror group’s bark was worse than its bite, with the limited damage in Israel falling well short of the sort of mass-casualty event Nasrallah had envisioned, and is not likely to deter Israel from attacking similar threats — or carrying out high-level assassinations of Hezbollah officials. Sky News Arabia’s Nadim Koteich suggested that Hezbollah’s strikes in Israel were “a significant failure,” noting that “if Israel had the chance to strike Nasrallah tomorrow, knowing the retaliation would be like today’s, they’d do it in a heartbeat.”
Israeli officials briefed their U.S. counterparts ahead of the strike. National Security Council spokesperson Sean Savett said President Joe Biden was “closely monitoring” the events and “at his direction, senior U.S. officials have been communicating continuously with their Israeli counterparts. We will keep supporting Israel’s right to defend itself, and we will keep working for regional stability.”
A Pentagon readout following a call between Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said that Austin “reaffirmed the United States’ ironclad commitment to Israel’s defense against any attacks by Iran and its regional partners and proxies.”
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu hinted at the start of a cabinet meeting on Sunday that the strikes may be the start of a broader campaign against Hezbollah.
The attack on Hezbollah’s missile launchers “is not the end of the story,” Netanyahu said. “Three weeks ago, we eliminated [Hezbollah’s] chief of staff and today we prevented its planned attack. [Hezbollah leader Hassan] Nasrallah in Beirut and [Iranian Ayatollah Ali] Khamenei in Tehran need to know that this is an additional step on the way to changing the situation in the north and to safely bring our residents back home.”
The thwarted Hezbollah attack came after Hamas announced that it rejected the latest cease-fire and hostage negotiation efforts; Iran and Hezbollah had said they would hold off on their retaliation for Shukr’s assassination while talks were ongoing.
Hours after the strike, Israeli negotiators traveled to Cairo for continued talks. Hamas reiterated its refusal to take part in the talks, despite sending representatives to Cairo. Netanyahu’s office emphasized on Saturday that he opposes any IDF withdrawal from the Philadelphi Corridor along the Egypt-Gaza border, rebutting some reports that he agreed to a partial retreat in a call with Biden.
war watch
Iranian, Houthi attacks still to come, Hezbollah leader Nasrallah warns

Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah warned the threat of a regional war still loomed, as Iran and its Houthi proxies plan to retaliate against Israel for the assassinations of Hezbollah military leader Fuad Shukr in Beirut and Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran last month, Jewish Insider’s Lahav Harkov reports.
View from Washington: Robert Satloff, the executive director of The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, wrote that after Israel thwarted Hezbollah’s major attack plans, “the ball is back in Hezbollah’s (ahem, Tehran’s) court. With some speechifying that talks big but says nothing, and with no further targeting deep inside Israel, this episode can pass.” Satloff also noted the “considerable restraint” of Israel’s leaders in undertaking targeted and preemptive attacks rather than a major operation against Hezbollah, “a function both of some cooler heads among certain Israeli leaders and cautionary words from” Biden.