Daily Kickoff
Good Monday morning.
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we report from the Halifax International Security Forum, where we speak to Democratic defense advisor Michèle Flournoy, Sen. Jim Risch, Israeli human rights lawyer Cochav Elkayam-Levy andHIAS CEO Mark Hetfield. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff, we highlight a bipartisan, bicameral bill that seeks to crack down on Iranian criminal activity in the U.S., and report on a letter signed by more than 50 Jewish groups blasting Sens. Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock for voting to block tranches of U.S. aid to Israel. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff: Scott Bessent, state Sen. Randy Fine and Santa Ono.
What We’re Watching
- We’re keeping an eye on the possibility of a U.S.-brokered cease-fire that’s reportedly close to fruition between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Several Israeli media outlets are reporting that a deal is not final, but that Jerusalem has agreed to the main principles of an agreement. Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir urged Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu this morning to reject the deal, calling it a “big mistake.”
- Dan Shapiro, deputy assistant secretary of defense for the Middle East, is in Israel and met with Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz this morning in the first meeting between Katz and a senior U.S. defense official since Katz assumed the role. The meeting dealt with many aspects of U.S.-Israel defense cooperation, but also focused on the Lebanon cease-fire deal, which Biden administration officials believe is days away from completion.
- Netanyahu rejected France’s continued involvement in the potential cease-fire and its monitoring mechanism after Paris said it would honor the International Criminal Court’s arrest warrants for the Israeli prime minister and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. President Joe Biden and French President Emmanuel Macron reached a compromise on the matter over the weekend, but Netanyahu is holding out for a stronger, public statement from France. More details to come on this scoop from Jewish Insider’s Lahav Harkov.
- Emirati authorities arrested three suspects in the United Arab Emirates in connection with the murder of Israeli-Moldovan citizen and a Chabad emissary in the UAE, Rabbi Zvi Kogan, who was murdered after being abducted in Dubai on Thursday. The Emirati Interior Ministry published pictures earlier today of the three suspects, all from Uzbekistan.
- UAE Ambassador to the U.S. Yousef Al Otaiba released a statement mourning Kogan and stating, “Zvi Kogan’s murder was more than a crime in the UAE – it was a crime against the UAE. It was an attack on our homeland, on our values and on our vision.”
- U.S. National Security Council Spokesperson Sean Savett condemned the murder as a “horrific crime against all those who stand for peace, tolerance, & coexistence. It was an assault as well on UAE & its rejection of violent extremism.”
What You Should Know
The impending return of President-elect Donald Trump to the global scene loomed large over this weekend’s Halifax International Security Forum (HFX), a three-day defense-focused confab on the windswept, rainy shores of Nova Scotia, Jewish Insider senior national correspondent Gabby Deutch reports.
In the opening session on Friday, HFX President Peter Van Praagh addressed the elephant in the room: “Over the course of the past two weeks, it seems like every one of you in this room called me to ask who was coming from the incoming Trump administration,” he said. “I don’t know. Maybe some of you in this room will go into government.”
It was a long-winded, slightly awkward way of saying that no one from Trump’s orbit would be in attendance at the conference, which drew 300 participants from more than 60 democratic nations.
Instead, the speeches and panel discussions talked around Trump. They touted the importance of maintaining strong support for Ukraine, a message geared — sometimes implicitly, sometimes very explicitly — at convincing Trump to stand by the embattled Eastern European nation as Putin’s war approaches the three-year mark. In one session, former Ukrainian parliamentarian Hanna Hopko handed Sen. Mike Rounds (R-SD) a shirt that said, “Make Russia small again.”
Attendees from Europe and Canada seemed less shell-shocked than in 2016, when Trump’s victory stunned America’s allies. Now, they knew to prepare for the possibility. “In 2016 in Europe, many, or most, could not imagine that Trump is elected. Now it was one of two feasible scenarios, and we prepared for both,” said Tobias Lindner, state minister in Germany’s Foreign Ministry.
The Middle East was not a large focus of the conference’s agenda. Sen. Jim Risch (R-ID), the ranking Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, told JI he had not talked to other participants about the International Criminal Court arrest warrants issued against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but said Washington’s message to Canada and European allies thinking of complying with the warrants is clear.
“People need to understand we’re serious about these sanctions, and if someone does engage in enforcing the warrant, thus enforcing action against Netanyahu, they easily could be the target of a third-party sanction,” said Risch.
When asked by JI about whether Germany will enforce the warrants, Lindner said he would not speculate — but suggested it is a possibility.
“Germany is committed to the ICC decisions, and Germany is committed to the rule of law, and anything else is speculation,” Lindner said. Read the full report from Halifax.
While in Halifax, JI talked to … HIAS CEO Mark Hetfield about why a Jewish refugee group came to a defense conference … Israeli human rights lawyer Cochav Elkayam-Levy about the new term she coined to describe the atrocities of Oct. 7 … Democratic defense advisor Michèle Flournoy about whether there’s a difference between U.S. sales of defensive vs. offensive weapons to Israel … Sen. Risch about two of Trump’s most controversial national security nominees. More below.
on the hill
Bipartisan, bicameral bill aims to crack down on Iranian criminal activity in the U.S.

A new bipartisan, bicameral bill seeks to respond to criminal activity in the United States organized by the Iranian regime by increasing the criminal penalties for those who commit or attempt certain crimes on behalf of foreign adversaries, Jewish Insider’s Marc Rod reports.
About the effort: The DETERRENCE Act, led by Sens. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) and Joni Ernst (R-IA) in the Senate and Reps. Ann Wagner (R-MO), Brad Schneider (D-IL), Nathaniel Moran (R-TX) and Jared Moskowitz (D-FL) in the House, comes after years of Iranian regime efforts, employing U.S.-based criminals, to assassinate former President Donald Trump, members of his administration and Iranian-American dissidents.