Daily Kickoff
Good Tuesday morning.
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we look at today’s Senate and House primaries in Arizona, report from the Christians United for Israel summit in Washington and talk to legislators in Washington about Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s threat to invade Israel. Plus, a look at a new poll in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District, where Wesley Bell is taking on Rep. Cori Bush next month. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff: James Tisch, John Kirby and French President Emmanuel Macron.
What We’re Watching
- We’re keeping an eye on the veepstakes, with North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper’s withdrawal from consideration yesterday. One of the determining factors behind Cooper’s decision was a state law that would automatically transfer power to North Carolina’s lieutenant governor any time Cooper leaves the state. Cooper’s absence while he’s on the campaign trail would empower Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, a Republican who has faced accusations of antisemitism by the state’s Jewish community. We wrote last week about the North Carolina law — and Robinson’s track record of incendiary and antisemitic comments.
- Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA) is slated to address the Christians United for Israel summit in Washington, D.C., this morning.
- In Paris, Israel’s soccer team will take on Japan at 3 p.m. local time/9 a.m. ET.
What You Should Know
Arizona’s primaries are taking place today, and the ideological battles taking place within both the Democratic and Republican parties are again at center stage in a couple of key contests, Jewish Insider Editor-in-Chief Josh Kraushaar reports.
The marquee matchups are taking place in Phoenix, where Democrats are nominating a successor to Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), who is running for the Senate; and in suburban Phoenix, where Republicans are choosing a successor to retiring Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-AZ).
The one race where pro-Israel groups are directly involved is in Gallego’s 3rd Congressional District. Democratic Majority for Israel has endorsed former Phoenix City Councilwoman Yassamin Ansari against former state Senate President Raquel Terán, and has spent over $280,000 on her behalf. (Their ads tout her work to raise wages and increase affordable housing on the City Council.)
Jewish Insiderreported in February that Jewish leaders in Arizona had been concerned about Terán’s reticence talking about Middle East policy, including whether she supported conditioning military aid to Israel.
Ansari’s campaign released a poll this month showing her with the momentum in the race, leading Terán by 11 points (41-30%) — and her stronger fundraising lends credence to the trend lines. Both campaigns, however, believe the race is unpredictable, given the low expected turnout in the primary. (For more on the race, read the story below.)
Arizona’s 8th District has been home to one of the nastiest primaries in the country, where former Senate candidate Blake Masters and former state attorney general candidate Abe Hamadeh are slamming each other, with a more-pragmatic Statehouse speaker, Ben Toma, emerging as a dark-horse alternative.
Masters and his allies have focused attacks on Hamadeh’s Muslim faith, plastering pictures of him in religious garb in Mecca, Saudi Arabia, on television advertisements and billboards, and implying that he’s a “terrorist [sympathizer].”
Masters came under scrutiny in his 2022 Senate race for his ties to neo-Nazis and the extremist far right, old writings that quoted Nazi leaders and antisemitic conspiracy theorists and his past hard-line libertarian views.
Former President Donald Trump, after endorsing Hamadeh, issued an unusual dual endorsement last Saturday night for both Hamadeh and Masters — a reflection that Masters appears to be narrowly ahead in the contest.
Democrats are also nominating a challenger against Rep. Dave Schweikert (R-AZ) in a battleground district that President Joe Biden narrowly carried. Former state party chair Andrei Cherny, former TV anchor Marlene Galan-Woods, state Rep. Amish Shah and Wall Street executive Conor O’Callaghan all have a chance to prevail, according to Democrats tracking the 1st District contest. All hail from the moderate wing of the party, a necessity to prevail in the traditionally Republican district around Scottsdale.
Cherny, who is Jewish, is the grandchild of Holocaust survivors, and has long been a strong supporter of Israel. O’Callaghan has also campaigned as a stalwart supporter of Israel, citing his grandfather’s service as a United Nations official in Jerusalem and his wife’s experience fleeing the Iranian revolution as reasons for his personal connections to the Jewish state.
The progressive Israel advocacy group J Street has endorsed Galan-Woods, who is the wife of former GOP Arizona attorney general Grant Woods (who died in 2021).
In the 2nd District, Rep. Eli Crane (R-AZ) is also facing a primary challenger — former Yavapai County Supervisor Jack Smith — backed by former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) in retribution for Crane’s vote to oust McCarthy as speaker. Smith has struggled to raise money for his bid, and Crane is expected to win comfortably.
phoenix politics
Phoenix House race features two Democrats with differing views on Israel

A closely contested race for an open House seat in Phoenix concludes today, as voters choose between two Democratic primary rivals with differing views on Israel. The race pits Yassamin Ansari, the former vice mayor of Phoenix, against Raquel Terán, a former state legislator and party chair, who have embraced contrasting approaches to the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza — an issue that has drawn outside spending, Jewish Insider’s Matthew Kassel reports.
Israel positions: The pro-Israel community has coalesced behind Ansari, 32, who notched an endorsement in June from Democratic Majority for Israel’s political arm, DMFI PAC, which has spent just over $280,000 to boost her campaign in the final weeks of the race. In a Middle East position paper circulated during the campaign, Ansari endorsed continued military aid to Israel “without additional conditions,” advocated for expanding the Abraham Accords and vowed to counter Iran’s influence in the region, including what she called its “financial support of terrorist groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah.” Terán, 46, has been less forthcoming in publicly sharing her positions on Israel over the course of the primary, raising concerns among local Jewish leaders who have been frustrated by her lack of clarity on a key issue.