Daily Kickoff
👋 Good Tuesday morning!
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we talk to Amb. Tom Nides about the U.S. approach to the next Israeli government, and interview Amb. Rufus Gifford about his role as U.S. chief of protocol. Also in today’s newsletter: Mike Pompeo, Shana Mansbach and Alejandro Mayorkas.
Three Israelis were killed and three others wounded in a stabbing attack and a subsequent car ramming this morning near the West Bank settlement of Ariel. The IDF said that a terrorist arrived at the entrance gate to the Ariel Industrial Zone and stabbed civilians in the area, as well as at a nearby gas station. The assailant then fled the scene in a stolen vehicle and crashed into several cars on Highway 5 before getting out of the car and stabbing another person.
The 120 members of the 25th Knesset are set to be sworn in today, with 23 freshmen Knesset members, as well as three who are back in Jerusalem after some time out of government, according to a breakdown by Ofer Kenig, a research fellow at the Israel Democracy Institute and professor at Ashkelon Academic College. The new Knesset includes 29 women, which is consistent with the average number of women elected to the body in recent years. Meanwhile, Arab representation has shrunk to 10 — the lowest in the past two decades, largely due to low voter turnout in that sector and a split in Arab party lists that resulted in the failure of the Balad party to cross the electoral threshold.
Knesset Speaker Mickey Levy, who is expected to be replaced in the coming days, said yesterday that he hopes “the 25th Knesset will be a positive turning point in the discourse and in the way Knesset members conduct their debates.” Incoming Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, meanwhile, is working hard to put together a government, and hopes to complete the task by next week.
And in Washington, Congress is back, with committees meeting for the first time since before the Nov. 8 election. This morning, the House Homeland Security Committee will convene for a hearing on “Worldwide Threats to the Homeland,” with testimony from DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas and FBI Director Christopher Wray.
Elsewhere on the Hill is a debate over the future of House leadership, as Republicans inch closer to a majority, following declared wins last night in California, New York and Arizona. Reps. Michelle Steel (R-CA) and Ken Calvert (R-CA) held onto their Southern California seats, while in Arizona, Rep. David Schweikert (R-AZ) defeated his Democratic challenger. In New York, Republican Brandon Williams came out ahead of Democrat Francis Conole in the state’s 22nd District.
But a Republican majority does not ensure smooth sailing for Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA), who needs to win 218 votes to become the next speaker of the House. McCarthy’s allies have gone so far as to attempt to convince at least one Democrat — Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-TX) — to switch parties. Some Republicans — including Rep. Andy Biggs (R-AZ), who, backed by other members of the House Freedom Caucus, is making a symbolic run for the speakership in today’s GOP leadership elections — have already voiced their opposition to backing the House minority leader, citing the GOP’s showing last week.
We’ll know more about the speaker’s race later today, after the Republican leadership elections. (The Democrats won’t hold their elections until the end of the month.) McCarthy is expected to easily hit the simple majority to shore up his bid — but will likely fall short of unanimous support, which could doom his bid for speaker in a House that is nearly evenly divided between Republicans and Democrats. Meanwhile, Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) said that he is open to working with Democrats to elect a moderate House speaker should the GOP not agree on a candidate.
But the Republican leadership election isn’t the only major GOP event taking place today. Former President Donald Trump is expected to announce his 2024 presidential bid at 9 p.m. tonight from Mar-a-Lago. We expect both the speakership race and Trump’s announcement to be topics of conversation at this weekend’s Republican Jewish Coalition leadership meeting in Las Vegas, where a number of potential presidential contenders, including Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who eclipsed Trump in one recent poll, are scheduled to speak.
coalition challenges
U.S. envoy watches with caution as new government takes shape in Israel

As incoming Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu works to form his new government coalition, potentially with some of the most far-right nationalist politicians Israel has ever seen, the Biden administration is watching closely. At the center of what could become a transatlantic storm sits America’s top envoy to Israel, Tom Nides, who, in the coming weeks and months will be required to maneuver between a new batch of Israeli cabinet members whose views — and actions — could end up clashing head-on with deeply held positions of a Democratic government in the U.S. that was bolstered by the recent midterm elections. “I’ve now been here for a year now and as I’ve said before, this job is not for the faint of heart,” Nides confessed to Jewish Insider’s Ruth Marks Eglash in an interview in his Jerusalem office on Monday. “And given the fact that I’m already on my third prime minister, it’s even stretching my own imagination how complicated this job is.”
Defense decisions: Since Israel’s Nov. 1 election, local media has been speculating that Itamar Ben-Gvir and his political ally, far-right lawmaker Bezalel Smotrich – the two ran a successful election campaign together under the banner of the far-right Religious Zionism faction, receiving the third most votes – are vying for some of the most powerful ministerial positions in Netanyahu’s next government, including the uber-sensitive post of defense minister. “I’m not going to speculate over who will be in the government or what our reaction will be when it happens, but what I do care about are those ministries that we have a very close, interlocking relationship with, in particular, the Defense Ministry,” explained Nides, who has spoken with Netanyahu several times since the election.
Wait and see: Despite the rising concerns from both Palestinian and U.S. officials about far-right politicians being positions of such power, Nides said his orders from Washington were to wait and see what happens over the next few weeks. Nides also said he did not believe that Netanyahu wanted to see a deterioration in the relations between Israel and the U.S., even though he acknowledged that there might be some in the incoming government who do not have the same priorities. “Joe Biden has a lot of credibility with the incoming prime minister, they’ve known each other for a long time and that relationship matters,” he continued. “Could there be people in the government who might not have the same priorities? Of course. But we will look towards Prime Minister Netanyahu to steer the ship, and if we believe things are off track, we’ll be more than happy to express our views as we see fit.”
Jewish leaders weigh in: Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations CEO William Daroff, speaking at a conference on U.S.-Israel ties on Monday, raised concerns over a proposal by Ben-Gvir to alter Israel’s Law of Return, as well as the recognition of conversions by non-Orthodox branches of Judaism.