Daily Kickoff
Good Tuesday morning.
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we interview U.S. Senate candidate David McCormick and report on the anti-Israel activity taking place at Columbia University as freshmen head to campus. We also have an exclusive on a new letter from Rep. Ritchie Torres to the heads of New York universities about “code words” used by students and faculty to shield against allegations of antisemitism and spotlight N.J. state Sen. Nellie Pou, who is expected to succeed Rep. Bill Pascrell. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff: Josh Kushner and Karlie Kloss, Gen. CQ Brown and Neil Parrott.
What We’re Watching
- National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan is slated to travel to China today to meet with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi; the trip is Sullivan’s first to Beijing as national security advisor.
- Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA) and Reps. Jim Banks (R-IN), Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-IA) and John Curtis (R-UT) are in Israel this week. The group met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu yesterday.
- Sens. Mark Kelly (D-AZ), Ted Budd (R-NC) and Reps. Mike Rogers (R-AL), Adam Smith (D-WA), Dale Strong (R-AL) and Ritchie Torres (D-NY) are visiting Finland this week. Yesterday, the delegation met with Finnish President Alexander Stubb.
What You Should Know
In the early hours of Sunday morning in Israel, it seemed as though the country was on the brink of the broader war promised for weeks by Iran and its terror proxies.
But by the time most Israelis woke up, Hezbollah’s response to Israeli strikes on targets in Lebanon had concluded, the fighter jets were no longer buzzing over cities and flights in and out of Ben Gurion Airport had resumed, Jewish Insider Executive Editor Melissa Weiss reports.
For most of the country, the remainder of the day was unnervingly…normal.
Hezbollah head Hassan Nasrallah claimed victory — though the fallout in Israel was minimal, with a single military fatality and structural damage to buildings hit by Hezbollah’s barrage. Hezbollah’s face-saving strike — which fell short of its goal to hit key Israeli military and intelligence installations — was, experts believe, the extent to which the Iran-backed group plans to retaliate for Israel’s assassination of senior official Fuad Shukr in Lebanon last month.
Now, the bigger question is whether Iran will strike Israel over the assassination of Hamas head Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran last month. Israel has still not confirmed its role in the attack, in which the Qatar-based official was killed by an explosion inside an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps building while in Tehran for the inauguration of President Masoud Pezeshkian.
“War has many forms,” Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Sunday. “It doesn’t always mean holding a gun. It means thinking correctly, speaking correctly, identifying correctly, aiming accurately.”
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. CQ Brown, who arrived in Israel over the weekend shortly before the strikes, said following his visit that he believed the risk of a broader war had, at least temporarily, subsided. “You had two things you knew were going to happen,” he said. “One’s already happened. Now it depends on how the second is going to play out.”
The experts we spoke to last night said that the decision for any regional escalation — or lack thereof — comes from one place: Tehran.
“We’re in this phase of hyper-aggressive ‘mowing the lawn,’ with zero advancement towards any kind of sustainable solution,” the American Enterprise Institute’s Danielle Pletka told us. “It’s Iran first, second, and always. And for as long as Israel (and we) don’t know what to do about Iran, this will be the scene we watch again and again.”
Iran and its terror proxies in Lebanon and Yemen, the Foundation for Defense of Democracies’ Mark Dubowitz explained, “have much to gain from a permanent state of escalation with Israel as Iran’s supreme leader advances his strategy of destroying the Jewish state.”
For Khamenei, Dubowitz continued, “this is [a] grinding war of attrition to cause as much damage as possible, drive out the most skilled and flexible Israelis and leave behind an outmanned and outgunned rump that steadily loses support from the West, which, in the face of nuclear intimidation, limits Israel in how it can fight back. Then Khamenei can move in for his kill shot.”
While the latest stage of escalation in Israel’s north ended before it got off the ground, there is no sign that Hezbollah is deterred from continuing the regular barrages of rockets and drones keeping 80,000 Israelis evacuated from their homes, making it hard for many to view one morning’s success as a real victory. Israeli government spokesperson David Mencer described the current situation in Israel’s north as “not sustainable.”
In order for Israel to come out on top, Dubowitz said, it “must flip the script, go on offense and support Iranians to bring down the Islamic Republic. That’s the only long-term escalation that will enable Israel to win.”
pennsylvania politics
The GOP Senate candidate betting on the Jewish vote to win Pennsylvania

Republican Senate candidate Dave McCormick, running in the politically pivotal battleground of Pennsylvania, is focused on winning over Jewish voters who have become disillusioned with the Democratic Party as part of his campaign against Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA), Jewish Insider’s Emily Jacobs reports. McCormick has regularly highlighted his stalwart support for Israel as it defends itself against Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran — and been a leading voice in condemning rising antisemitism, especially against the anti-Israel activism taking place at universities, including at the University of Pennsylvania.
Community concerns: “A lot of Jewish voters that I encounter are wrestling with their political allegiances, wrestling with what they’re seeing play out from their television, wrestling with how to think about their strong support for Israel and their dismay at the antisemitism,” McCormick told JI last week. “This election really is forcing a lot of soul-searching, and I’m hoping to be able to win their confidence as someone who’s a strong voice on these issues and will be a strong voice as their senator.”