Daily Kickoff
👋 Good Monday morning!
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we interview San Francisco Mayor London Breed in Tel Aviv, and spotlight Arizona congressional candidate Andrei Cherny. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff: Ken Marcus, Rahm Emanuel and Noa Kirel.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan told his supporters that he was prepared to face a runoff, as early results showed him lagging behind the 50% necessary for victory — with precincts in more-liberal parts of the country yet to be counted as part of the official government tally. The latest figures from the government’s Anadolu news agency show Erdogan with 49% of the vote, while the main opposition leader, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, tallied 45%. If neither candidate hits 50%, the race heads to a May 28 runoff.
Under Erdogan, Turkey has been a thorn in the side of other NATO countries, retaining ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin even after his Ukraine invasion and resisting the expansion of the Western alliance. Erdogan has also faced criticism for his government’s handling of a damaging earthquake that killed more than 50,000 people residing in unsafe buildings. The country is also facing a severe inflation crisis, fueling voter frustration over Erdogan’s management of the economy.
Kilicdaroglu, an economist and retired civil servant, campaigned on a promise to return Turkey to a more democratic path and aligning the country more closely with the West.
Over the last several years, Erdogan has muted his antagonism towards Israel in favor of a rapprochement. Last year, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Erdogan spoke for the first time in nine years — when Erdogan congratulated Netanyahu for his election victory.
Back stateside, a much-anticipated Iowa showdown between Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump didn’t materialize this weekend, as Trump canceled his planned trip to Des Moines for a rally because of inclement weather.
But DeSantis made the most of his visit, glad-handing with Iowans from Cedar Rapids to Des Moines, and securing endorsements from a notable cross-section of Iowa Republican legislators. His message, which we’ll be hearing more of when he officially becomes a candidate: Republicans need to “reject a culture of losing” and embrace conservative principles to be successful in 2024.
DeSantis started his Iowa trip by attending Rep.Randy Feenstra’s (R-IA) picnic fundraiser. In attendance were Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA), Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds, Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-IA) and Republican state Attorney General Brenna Bird.
Any DeSantis momentum in the Republican nomination process runs through Iowa. The state is filled with evangelical conservatives who are well-suited to DeSantis’ message, and is home to Trump’s first major defeat — to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) in the state’s 2016 caucuses. Trump’s decision to cancel his rally was a symbolic victory for DeSantis. Trump scheduled his trip to overshadow DeSantis, but it turned out the former president was the no-show. If DeSantis beats Trump at retail politics (a big if), it’s the ticket for a turnaround in the state’s pivotal caucuses.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom on Friday unveiled a new budget proposal that included $10 million for the state’s Nonprofit Security Grant Program. That sum falls far short of the nearly $50 million allocated for the program last year. Political experts in California tell Jewish Insider the proposal will likely serve as a starting point for negotiations with the state legislature. Jewish community leaders requested that Newsom fund the program with $80 million, despite the state’s $31.5 billion deficit.
“We’re grateful for Governor Newsom’s ongoing commitment to security funding, particularly in such a challenging budget, and look forward to working closely with him and our legislative colleagues to further increase resources for this critical program,” California Assemblymember Jesse Gabriel, an Encino Democrat who chairs the Legislative Jewish Caucus, told JI on Friday.
In Israel, an Egyptian-mediated cease-fire agreement was reached between Israel and Palestinian Islamic Jihad on Saturday night, ending a five-day escalation that killed at least 33 Palestinians in Gaza and two people in Israel. Yesterday evening, a rocket fired from Gaza broke the quiet and prompted an Israeli airstrike on two Hamas military posts. Palestinian militant leaders said the rocket was fired by mistake.
intel insights
Intelligence Committee members weigh in on preventing Iranian breakout after Middle East trip

Following a delegation to Israel, Jordan and Egypt last week, members of the House Intelligence Committee remain divided on the best path forward to prevent Iran from achieving a nuclear weapon, Jewish Insider’s Marc Rod reports.
Clear threat: With Iran moving closer to weapons-grade enrichment and a revived nuclear deal remaining unlikely, Republicans on the trip told JI that they believe the Biden administration needs to send a stronger deterrent message to Tehran. Rep. Mike Waltz (R-FL) said that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu conveyed a similar message: that only a “threat of military action” will deter Iran from developing a nuclear weapon.
Both paths: “I don’t believe that [administration officials] have given any signal or indication to Iran that there would be consequences for becoming a nuclear state,” Intelligence Committee Chairman Mike Turner (R-OH) said. “I think you can do negotiations and at the same time, communicate firmly and clearly to Iran that both the United States and Israel together would actively consider military actions to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear state.”
New diplomatic approach: Rep. Ami Bera (D-CA) suggested that conditions against Iran’s nuclear weaponization could be incorporated into emerging dialogues between Iran and U.S. partners like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Bera stopped in Abu Dhabi ahead of the delegation’s trip. “I would not [establish dialogue] without conditions,” Bera said. “I would urge our friends in Saudi Arabia, our friends in the Emirates to make a non-nuclear Iran part of those conditions, if they’re going to do commerce, or if there’s going to be some normalization.”