Daily Kickoff
Good Tuesday morning.
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we report on House plans to vote on separate Israel, Ukraine and Taiwan aid bills this week, and talk to Virginia congressional candidate Dan Helmer about his ties to Israel and his Middle East policy positions. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff, Sen. Lindsey Graham, Norman Lear and Zach Roseman.
As the dust settled in the aftermath of Sunday morning’s Iranian attack on Israel — which was fended off by a multinational coalition that included the U.S., U.K. and some Arab states — President Joe Biden told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to “take the win.”
But Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant told Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin that Jerusalem plans to mount a response to Tehran after the Islamic republic sent hundreds of drones and missiles toward the Jewish state.
Now, questions about when, where and what form that response will take is a matter of open debate — as is the strategic thinking behind the decision.
The American Enterprise Institute’s Danielle Pletka told us that there is “no upside to a quick response by Israel against Iran; not because Biden’s pathological fear of ‘escalation’ should dictate Israeli national security, or because Iran is suddenly allowed to dictate the framing of its ‘retaliatory’ assault on Israel, but because a measured, strategically considered, psychologically intimidating Israeli answer to Iran’s dangerous aggression is the best choice.”
The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace’s Aaron David Miller said that Israel is “going to respond.”
“Only two things matter,” Miller continued. “Will the response be calibrated enough to avoid two serious consequences if it is not — first, an Iranian counterstrike that starts an escalatory ladder leading to a regional war; and second, which is derivative of the first; will it undermine Israeli credibility and reliability with key allies — the Biden administration and Israel’s treaty and Abraham Accords partners.”
And Mark Dubowitz, the CEO of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, suggested that “Israel would be wise to strike in the shadows in the short term using cyber or covert action with plausible deniability and without risking a confrontation with President Biden while planning a longer-term operation to strike at Iran’s nuclear weapons programs.”
“But if Israel decides to strike back openly, immediately and decisively,” Dubowitz added, “Biden should have its back if ‘ironclad’ support is to have any meaning to our allies and enemies around the world.”
Writing in The Wall Street Journal, Walter Russell Mead said that Netanyahu would be committing “political suicide” if he were to follow the White House’s suggestion to hold fire — and that it would be “national suicide for any Israeli prime minister to do so.” Read the rest of his opinion piece here.
Stateside, Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff is slated to travel to Kansas City, Mo., for “Driving Out Darkness in the Heartland: 2024 Regional Summit on Combating Antisemitism.” Emhoff is also expected to attend an event commemorating the 10-year anniversary of the Overland Park (Kan.) Jewish Community Center shooting and participate in a fireside chat on combating hate.
glimmer of hope
House to vote on separate Israel, Ukraine and Taiwan bills later this week

The House is set to vote at the end of the week on separate Israel, Ukraine and Taiwan aid funding bills, alongside a fourth bill with other miscellaneous national security legislation, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) announced on Monday, Jewish Insider’s Marc Rod and Emily Jacobs report. The announcement provides a path forward in the House for funding to U.S. allies around the world after months of uncertainty, but success likely depends on Democrats’ cooperation with Johnson’s gambit. It will also slow down the provision of aid to U.S. allies, given that it will require a new, and potentially divisive, battle in the Senate.
What’s next: The exact text and funding levels in the bill won’t be released until Tuesday, with a final vote expected in the House on Friday evening. The plan will likely require Democratic support at multiple stages, including on a procedural “rule” vote to bring the bills to the House floor.
Winning praise: The proposal appears to be satisfying many House Republicans, across a fairly wide ideological spectrum and including both supporters and opponents of Ukraine aid. Rep. Joe Wilson (R-SC), who joined more than 90 Democrats on a Monday morning letter calling on Johnson to call a vote on the Senate-passed Israel and Ukraine bill, said he’s satisfied with the plan. “It shall be achieved,” Wilson told JI. “I feel like we’re really acting… I support very much the speaker’s efforts.”
Yes, but: A few key House conservatives — Reps. Chip Roy (R-TX) and Thomas Massie (R-KY) — might oppose a procedural vote in the Rules Committee needed to advance the proposed bills to the House floor, meaning the bill probably needs support from Democratic leadership. Some Republicans are also resistant to any foreign aid bill without border security attached. “The one big issue that’s going to be interesting to see is how the speaker attaches — the one big issue that we have to deal with in conference is this border security issue. That’s a huge, top priority for us,” Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-NY) said.
Across the aisle: Democrats, including a number of prominent pro-Israel lawmakers, either declined to weigh in until they saw the full bill or reacted with skepticism to the plan, continuing to push for the Senate-passed aid bill to be voted on in its original form. Rep. Brad Schneider (D-IL) said that “anything short of the Senate bill is a delay. It’s an unfortunate and dangerous delay. So I wish we were focused on that.” But he said he’d examine the GOP proposal.