Daily Kickoff
👋 Good Tuesday morning!
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we delve into the political implications of former President Donald Trump’s federal trial date, and interview German Ambassador to Israel Steffen Seibert one year into his posting. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff: Saudi Prime Minister and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Mitchell Silk and Chloe Fineman.
Will political reporters be spending more time in the courtroom or on the campaign trail next year?
That’s the big question that could well determine the trajectory of the GOP presidential primary, especially after D.C. District Court Judge Tanya Chutkan set the trial date for the federal election interference case against former President Donald Trump for March 4 — one day before Super Tuesday, when Republicans from 15 states will be going to the polls.
So far, Trump’s political fortunes have been supercharged after each of his four indictments. His primary polling average has surged from 43% at the beginning of the year to just under 50% in the latest FiveThirtyEight tally. He raised over $7 million since his mug shot in Georgia went viral, underscoring the depth and resilience of his grassroots support.
But there are also signs that if Trump is convicted, some Republican voters would have second thoughts about nominating a candidate who could be spending time in jail. About half of Republicans said they would not vote for Trump if he were convicted of a felony, according to an August Reuters/Ipsos poll.
Just over one-third of independents said they would be “less likely” to vote for Trump if he’s convicted, according to a separate POLITICO Magazine/Ipsos poll.
The disconnect between most Republicans defending Trump and the prospect that more would defect if he’s convicted is a pragmatic one. Many Republicans instinctively side with Trump, and agree with him that there’s a political motive behind the legal blitz.
At the same time, with Trump in a courtroom, the implications of nominating a possible convicted felon will be more real. Electability doesn’t feel like a relevant issue to many voters now (especially with some general election polls showing Trump running competitively against President Biden), but that could change quickly as a trial progresses.
All told, we are in uncharted political territory. To have a shot at unseating Trump, Republicans will need to narrow down their field of challengers before Super Tuesday, JI Editor in Chief Josh Kraushaar writes.
“Most Republicans aren’t looking to be rescued from Donald Trump. The fact is, they really do like him, and at this point they think he’s their best shot,” Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson wrote in The New York Times. To that point, an August CBS poll found a clear majority of GOP voters believe Trump is the surest political bet against Biden.
That means it will likely take a consequential event outside the political realm — like Trump facing jail time — to get Republicans to shift their presidential voting preferences. It’s likely up to the legal system to determine whether a Trump alternative will have a shot at emerging.
delicate diplomacy
With polished Hebrew, Germany’s ambassador to Israel draws inspiration from the job

If the unique diplomatic relationship between Israel and Germany is defined by events of the last century, namely the atrocities of the Holocaust, then Steffen Seibert, the German ambassador who arrived in the Jewish state just over a year ago, is in the right job. A former journalist and news anchor, who more recently spent 10 years as the government spokesman under former German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Seibert is smooth, sharp and as sensitive as one can be in a country that still bears the scars of the systematic Nazi genocide of Jews in Europe more than 75 years ago. Seibert sat down for an interview with Jewish Insider’s Ruth Marks Eglash at the German Embassy just over a year after taking up his post in Tel Aviv.
Getting acquainted: Seibert has already made impressive strides in getting to know the country, meeting with leaders both in the current and former governments, ordinary citizens and Holocaust survivors, some of whom he hosted in his living room earlier this year as part of a special Yom HaShoah program. Oh, and he has also managed to learn fluent Hebrew. “My wife thinks I’m a total nerd and I think she might be right,” Seibert, who regularly uploads snappy and polished videos in Hebrew to social media, told JI last week. “Speaking in videos is still very different from speaking in real life. Hebrew is one difficult language to learn.”
Holocaust awareness: A main focus of Seibert’s work in Israel has been to connect with the last remaining Holocaust survivors, to hear their stories, and also to explore ways to keep their memories alive. “There is always the question of how we can make sure that every future generation will know about what happened. We need to pass on the knowledge and do it in a way that doesn’t let the Holocaust become just a chapter in history,” he explained. “For us Germans, it is part of our identity. Not a question of personal guilt for today’s generations but one of responsibility – and that mustn’t get lost.”