Daily Kickoff
Good Wednesday morning.
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we look at the tensions surrounding yesterday’s strategic dialogue between Secretary of State Tony Blinken and Qatari PM and Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, and report on the behind-the-scenes collaboration between Indonesia and Israel to rescue Indonesian nationals in Gaza. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff: Mia Schem, Victoria Nuland and Rep. Mike Collins.
Former President Donald Trump dominated in the GOP’s Super Tuesday slate of primary contests, winning 14 of the 15 states over Nikki Haley — with only Vermont giving a narrow victory to the former U.N. ambassador. His comfortable victories, from California to Texas to Virginia, all but guarantee him the Republican nomination.
Haley will be suspending her presidential campaign in a speech in Charleston, S.C., this morning, but won’t yet be endorsing Trump. Instead, she will encourage the former president to win the support of Republican voters who backed her.
In Minnesota, a push for Democrats to vote “uncommitted” against President Joe Biden garnered 19% of the primary vote.
Pro-Israel candidates tallied a series of victories in congressional primaries on Super Tuesday. In California, Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA), who was endorsed by AIPAC and DMFI, finished in first place in the California all-party primary — easily outdistancing Rep. Katie Porter (D-CA) and Barbara Lee (D-CA) — and will face Republican Steve Garvey in the general election.
Given California’s solidly Democratic orientation, Schiff is heavily favored to win the Senate seat in November. Anti-Israel protesters attempted to disrupt his victory speech last night before being escorted out by security.
In Texas, AIPAC-endorsed state Rep. Craig Goldman comfortably outdistanced his rivals in the Republican primary. He will be favored in a runoff for the GOP nomination over real estate developer John O’Shea in the solidly Republican House seat of retiring Rep. Kay Granger (R-TX).
Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D-TX) easily dispatched her anti-Israel opponent, Pervez Agwan, in the Democratic primary. Agwan ran on an anti-AIPAC platform, and raised over $1 million for his campaign, but is losing by a whopping 46-point margin (73%-27%).
But in California’s 47th Congressional District, where pro-Israel groups spent millions to boost Democratic attorney Joanna Weiss over Democratic state senator Dave Min, the efforts are looking unsuccessful. With 60% of the vote in, Min leads Weiss by about six points — in second place behind Republican Scott Baugh. If the results hold, Min would face Baugh in the swing Orange County-based district.
Some news from the next round of primaries: United Democracy Project, the super PAC affiliated with AIPAC, is spending nearly $44,000 on mailers to oppose Kina Collins, a progressive primary challenger to Rep. Danny Davis (D-IL) in Chicago, according to a new filing. Collins, who failed to defeat Davis in 2022 with backing from Justice Democrats, is among several Democrats preparing to take on incumbents in the March 19 primary. Davis, who has had a strained relationship with the local pro-Israel community, has not been endorsed by AIPAC’s political action committee.
And in Missouri, three dozen rabbis and cantors from the St. Louis area have signed on to an open letter endorsing Wesley Bell, a Democrat, in his campaign to unseat Rep. Cori Bush (D-MO), one of the most vulnerable Squad members facing a primary threat this cycle.
“Wesley immediately reached out to console us following October 7th, committed to being a voice for our community and made clear he was our much needed ally,” the clergy members write in their letter, shared exclusively with JI. “His words have not only been comforting,” the letter adds, “but were also a stark departure from the ongoing caustic, offensive, and — yes — antisemitic rhetoric from the current representative in Washington D.C.”
Their new statement underscores how Bush’s hostile approach to Israel has driven the clergy members to take the rare step of publicly choosing a side in what is expected to be a close race. Most of the clergy members who signed the letter “have not been politically active until the last few months,” said Rabbi Jeffrey Abraham of Congregation B’nai Amoona, a Conservative synagogue in St. Louis, who is among the signatories.
“We urgently need representation in Congress by one who listens, cares, and represents the values of our collective community,” the authors stress. “We believe that must be Wesley Bell and are proud to support him.”
diplomatic dance
U.S. ties to Qatar in spotlight, and under scrutiny, following strategic dialogue
Secretary of State Tony Blinken feted the Qatari prime minister in Washington on Tuesday, hosting the Gulf leader for a daylong meeting discussing the countries’ close partnership. Blinken’s warm embrace of Qatar comes as the country has in recent weeks begun to face increasing pressure from Israeli leaders and some American Jewish activists due to its close ties to Hamas, and its inability to reach a second hostage deal as the Israelis held in Gaza approach their 150th day in captivity, Jewish Insider’s Gabby Deutch reports.
Tense times: This year’s strategic dialogue with Qatar comes at a tense moment in the Middle East. But in remarks before the event and a summary issued by the State Department afterward, Blinken spoke highly of his Qatari counterpart, Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, who is also Qatar’s prime minister.
Taking advantage: “I understand the diplomatic language that was used in the document that was put out by the State Department, talking about the vital commercial, economic, military and political ties. And I’m sure all that is true,” said Ron Halber, the executive director of the Jewish Community Relations Council of Greater Washington. “But underneath that, we have Qatar that dupes the United States and takes advantage of our friendship.” Since January, the JCRC has hosted semi-regular gatherings outside the Qatari Embassy demanding that its leaders do more to pressure Hamas.
Bad behavior: The timing of this year’s meeting — while the Biden administration is urging Hamas to accept a deal — raised flags for some critics of Washington’s ties to Qatar. “The Biden administration appears to be rewarding Qatar for bad behavior, giving them tremendous benefits that the Qataris have not yet earned. I could imagine postponing this summit until there is another agreement that delivers all the hostages or as many hostages as possible, including all the American hostages,” said Richard Goldberg, a senior advisor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and a former national security official in the Trump administration.
Close partner: Strategic dialogues are a frequent occurrence at the State Department, and not just for Qatar. Washington hosts similar annual events between top diplomats from the U.S. and scores of other allies, many of which are much less geostrategically significant than Qatar. “It’s an important partner in many regards, and one that we’ve depended on for years to mediate our relations with some of the more unsavory groups in the region,” David Schenker, a former senior State Department official who attended one of the dialogues during the Trump administration, said of Qatar, which President Joe Biden designated as a “major non-NATO ally” in 2022.
In Doha: Iran unveiled a new UAV dubbed the “Gaza” at the Doha International Maritime Defense Exhibition and Conference earlier this week. In 2022, the State Department condemned the presence of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps at the annual event in Qatar.