Daily Kickoff
Good Tuesday morning.
In today’s Daily Kickoff, we preview former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee’s confirmation hearing to be U.S. ambassador to Israel, and talk to Senate Republicans about White House Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff’s recent comments about Hamas. We also report on Vice President J.D. Vance’s opposition to recent U.S. strikes targeting the Houthis in Yemen, and look at the IDF’s military strategy in Gaza as fighting resumes in the enclave. Also in today’s Daily Kickoff: Daniel Hernandez, Rep. Mike Lawler and Alina Habba.
What We’re Watching
- We’re keeping an eye on the fallout from yesterday’s Atlantic report that journalist Jeffrey Goldberg was added to a Signal group of high-level Trump administration officials ahead of U.S. strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen. More below.
- The Senate Foreign Relations Committee will hold the confirmation hearing this morning for former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, the Trump administration’s nominee to be U.S. ambassador to Israel. More below.
- The Senate Intelligence Committee is holding a hearing on global threats this morning. Witnesses include Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, FBI Director Kash Patel and CIA Director John Ratcliffe.
- The annual Chabad Young Professionals Gala is taking place tonight in New York City. Joe and Tayler Lonsdale, Shaun and Liana Maguire and Adam Shapiro will be honored at the event.
- The Jewish Funders Network’s annual conference wraps up this afternoon in Nashville, Tenn. Read more from eJewishPhilanthropy’s Judah Ari Gross on the conversations happening in Music City.
What You Should Know
The zeitgeist in Washington is that the Democrats are deeply in disarray. The party has no obvious leader, it’s divided between pragmatists and progressives and its brand is battered.
But take one step back from the conventional wisdom of the moment, and it’s easy to forget that the party in power — not the opposition party — typically faces the most political exposure. And the headlines of the last week aren’t a particularly good omen for President Donald Trump and the GOP’s political future, Jewish Insider Editor-in-Chief Josh Kraushaar writes.
Let’s start with the bombshell news to start the week. The president’s national security advisor, Mike Waltz, accidentally invited Atlantic Editor-in-Chief Jeffrey Goldberg to an unclassified Signal chat discussing war plans against the Houthis. The president’s national security team, along with other key advisors — including the vice president — didn’t seem to think it was necessary to maintain typical operational security protections to ensure highly sensitive details wouldn’t be intercepted. (Waltz’s head is now on the chopping block, according to reports.)
It’s one of the rare stories in a news cycle that broke through the nonstop clutter. There were very few Republicans — even from the typical partisan chorus — defending the administration’s jaw-dropping disregard for protecting American military secrets.
That development overshadowed what should be another remarkable controversy. The president’s top diplomatic negotiator in Russia-Ukraine negotiations, Steve Witkoff, went on Tucker Carlson’s podcast last week and echoed talking points used by Russian dictator Vladimir Putin to justify Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. (Timestamps from the Atlantic story indicate that Witkoff, who was also active in the group chat, was in Moscow at the time that war plans were being discussed, suggesting further communication compromises if Witkoff brought his phone with him to Moscow.)
“I don’t regard Putin as a bad guy,”Witkoff told Carlson. “That is a complicated situation, that war and all the ingredients that led up to it.”
You don’t need to be a pollster to appreciate that Putin is still deeply loathed by the vast majority of Americans. A Quinnipiac poll conducted this month shows the Russian president with a dismal 7% favorability rating, with 81% viewing him unfavorably. (Among Republicans, the loathing is similar, with 8% viewing him favorably and 75% unfavorably.) Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s favorability in the U.S. is relatively healthy, with 43% viewing him favorably and 33% unfavorably.
It’s not hard to imagine that Trump’s efforts to normalize the U.S. relationship with Russia and diminish support for Ukraine could lead to setbacks for Ukraine on the battlefield. If Ukraine ends up losing ground to Russia on Trump’s watch, expect the president to take a political hit — similar to how former President Joe Biden’s approval ratings dropped after Afghanistan fell to the Taliban.
The economy, meanwhile, remains the biggest threat to Trump’s political standing. His imposition on tariffs against our allies threatens to inflate the prices of everyday goods, at a time when many Americans are already frustrated over rising costs. Economic experts have increased the risk of a recession as a result of the growing economic uncertainty.
In a reversal from voters’ solid perception of his economic skills as a candidate, Trump’s approval on the economy has worsened since taking office. Even in polls where his overall ratings are respectable, the public perception of his economic stewardship is lower than it was throughout his first term.
There are plenty of other vulnerabilities that thoughtful Democrats could exploit, from Elon Musk overreaching with his aggressive cuts to government services to the administration’s ever-intensifying war against the judiciary.
Elections are the best, most objective test of a party’s standing — and there are several key contests coming up that will indicate whether Trump is losing some political altitude.
Next Tuesday, voters in Wisconsin will go to the polls to elect either a Trump-backed conservative judge (Brad Schimel) or a liberal challenger (Susan Crawford) for an open seat on the state Supreme Court. Given that the battleground-state contest has been nationalized (and Musk is emerging as the Democrats’ boogeyman), with millions from outside groups pouring into the ostensibly nonpartisan election, the results will be an early temperature check of the country’s political mood.
That same day in Florida, there will be two special elections in solidly Republican congressional districts to fill the seats of Waltz and former Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL). Republicans were showing an unusual degree of angst this week in the race to fill Waltz’s seat even though it’s a red district where Trump won nearly two-thirds of the vote last November. (The GOP nominee is state lawmaker Randy Fine, seeking to become the fourth Jewish Republican congressman.)
Follow the scoreboard next Tuesday. Underwhelming GOP showings in these off-year contests would signal that, far from being in disarray, Democrats could have a foothold to success by acting as the principled, mainstream opposition party.
opposing views
Jewish groups at odds ahead of Huckabee nomination hearing

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee’s confirmation hearing to be U.S. ambassador to Israel is opening rifts in the Jewish community, with groups representing the Orthodox and Reform movements openly at odds over Huckabee’s background and past views, Jewish Insider’s Marc Rod and Emily Jacobs report.
What he’ll say: In written testimony for his Tuesday hearing before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee obtained by JI, Huckabee — whose comments claiming that the West Bank is rightfully part of Israel, supporting West Bank settlements and asserting that there’s “no such thing as a Palestinian” have been a source of controversy — emphasized that he will be speaking for the administration as an ambassador, not advancing his own views. Huckabee will ask the committee to work in a prompt and bipartisan manner to confirm him, as it did former Ambassador Jack Lew, noting that the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas and the hostage situation make his confirmation urgent.
Opposing views: While not explicitly endorsing Huckabee, the Orthodox Union Advocacy Center argued in a letter to the leaders of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that Huckabee’s views in opposition to a two-state solution and supporting Israeli sovereignty over the West Bank, which Huckabee refers to as Judea and Samaria, are in agreement with those of “many American Jews.” The letter comes in direct response to a letter last month from the Religious Action Center of Reform Judaism, expressing concerns about Huckabee’s nomination and record. Huckabee’s past views, the RAC argued, “[run] counter to U.S. interests in advancing the causes of peace and regional security.”
Read the full story here.